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Author(s): Makato Hirazawa, Koji Kitaura, Akira Yakita
Title: Aging, fertility, social security and the political equilibrium
Abstract: We analyze the effect of population aging on the political choice of the size of a pay-as-you-go (PAYG) social security system, incorporating the heterogeneity of individuals in their preference for having children, and hence the endogenous fertility choices of individuals, into a simple overlapping generations model. We show that population aging may result in an increase in the contribution rate, increasing the share of the retired population who prefer a higher contribution rate; and that, if the system involves redistribution between retirees with different contributions, the increased contribution rate raises the number of individuals who have children, i.e., future contributors.
Published: J Popul Econ (2010) 23 (2): 559-569
Keywords: Political equilibrium - Aging - Pay-as-you-go social security - Fertility
Jel: D72 - H55 - J13